作者整理了下一波可本地运行的开源权重模型传闻清单：Qwen 4 被讨论在 10 月至 11 月初发布，阿里已确认在训练但无发布日期；Kimi K3.1 因可能的预告和后端模型标识符引发期待，10 月看似合理但属猜测。Next GLM 按发布节奏估计在 10 月至 11 月，作者尤其期待 GLM-5.4（5.3 在网络能力上很强）；DeepSeek V4.2 暂无可靠发布窗口。
I’m getting impatient for the next wave of open-weight models I can run locally.
Here’s the current rumor watchlist that i researched:
- Qwen 4: October to early November is being discussed. Alibaba confirmed it is in training, but there is no release date.
- Kimi K3.1: a possible teaser and a reported backend model identifier have fueled expectations. October looks plausible, but that’s speculation.
- Next GLM: October to November is a release-cadence estimate (especially excited for GLM-5.4, since 5.3 is super strong in cyber capabilities)
- DeepSeek V4.2: sadly no credible release window yet.
Qwen 4 27b will probably be the goat, but super excited for k3.1 and GLM-5.4 as well. And of course DeepSeek 4.2 Flash.
来源：Chubby♨️ · x.com