Ethan Mollick· @emollick · X·· 3 小时前AI 评分33
AI 导读
这是一次很棒的对话！ 新播客：《你还不够 AGI 信仰》 我请 @emollick 告诉我，我在 AI 上哪里理解错了。我们还聊了： - 为什么这么多专家一直低估模型能力的进展速度 - 为什么这么多专家一直*高估*强大 AI 改变宏观经济的速度 - 为什么上一个问题的答案要从“O 型环和垃圾桶”说起 - AI 集群的社会学 - AI 使用的悖论（或者如麦克卢汉所说：“每一种技术增强也是一种截肢”） - 提示词的终结（或者：如果个人 AI 智能体变得如此擅长预判我们的需求，以至于人类从提示者变成了被提示者，会发生什么） - 2027 年预测以及……他那本出色的新书《CO-EXISTENCE》 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zthE5Oa8mlM&t=1s
正文
This was a great conversation!
New pod: 'YOU'RE NOT AGI-PILLED ENOUGH' I asked @emollick to tell me what I'm getting wrong about AI. We also talked about: - why so many experts keep underrating the rate of progress for model capabilities - why so many experts keep *overrating* how rapidly powerful AI will change the macroeconomy - why the answer to the previous question starts with "O-rings and garbage cans" - the sociology of AI swarms - the paradoxes of AI use (or: 'every technological augmentation is also an amputation,' per McLuhan) - the end of prompting (or: what happens if personal AI agents get so good at anticipating our needs that humans, once the prompter, become the prompted) - 2027 predictions and ... his excellent new book CO-EXISTENCE https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zthE5Oa8mlM&t=1s在 X 查看被引用的帖子
来源：Ethan Mollick · x.com