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Rohan Paul· @rohanpaul_ai · X·· 2 小时前AI 评分48
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所有在用的AI芯片的总算力每年增长3.4倍。 ——据 Epoch AI 但如果每年新采购的芯片只增长2.5倍,这一总量最终也会放缓至约2.5倍。

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the total computing power of all AI chips in use is growing 3.4x a year.
per Epoch AI

but if each year’s new chip purchases grow only 2.5x, that total will eventually slow to about 2.5x as well.

引用Epoch AI@EpochAIResearch
The computing power of AI chips sold each quarter has grown 2.5× per year since the start of 2024. That’s down from roughly 6× in 2023, led by Nvidia’s then-new H100 GPU. Some evidence suggests growth slowed further. But quarterly sales are noisy, and our data ends just as Nvidia begins shipping its next-generation chips, a move that has historically spiked sales. This could be a lull between generations. See our website for more details on the analysis: https://epoch.ai/data-insights/ai-computing-capacity-additions-doubling This is from our AI chip sales dataset, which uses financial reports, company disclosures, and more to estimate compute, power usage, and spending for a wide variety of chips: https://epoch.ai/data/ai-chip-sales
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来源:Rohan Paul · x.com